VSTE

ISSN (online): 1805-9112

Research ArticleOpen access

Impact of macroeconomic factors on the MTPL insurance in Latvia

Abstract

The objective of the article is to do a research on current and the most important issues regarding the impact of macroeconomic factors on one of the most widespread insurance products - Motor Third Party Liability insurance (MTPLI). A research has been made to evaluate the actual presence of the MTPLI insurance in the Latvian market of motor vehicle insurance and the presence in the general insurance portfolio at European level. The authors studied the performance of Motor Third Party Liability insurance in the Latvian insurance market from 2005 till 2019. This research examines the actual problems of Latvian insurance market in the context of the impact of macroeconomic indicators on MTPLI product performance. Further considerations regarding the macroeconomic impact on MTPLI have been made, taking into account the role of the macroeconomic factors on the demand for the specific insurance product. The paper focuses on the analysis of factors determining development of the insurance market as well. An overall evaluation of the impact of macroeconomic factors on the MTPLI in Latvia has been carried out.

Keywords:Motor Third Party Liability insurancemacroeconomic factorsinsurance consumptioninsurance premiums.

References

  1. ANDREEVA, T., (2019). Prospects for the development of motor third party liability insurance on the bulgarian insurance market. Trakia Journal of Sciences, 17(1), 480-487. ISSN 1313-7069.
  2. APERGIS, N. and POUFINAS, T., (2020). The role of insurance growth in economic growth: Fresh evidence from a panel of OECD countries. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 53. 10217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2020.101217
  3. CHANG, T., LEE, C. and CHANG, C., (2014). Does insurance activity promote economic growth? Further evidence based on bootstrap panel Granger causality test. The European Journal of Finance, 20:12, 1187-1210, https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.(2012).757555
  4. CHEN, R. B., WONG, K. A. and LEE, H. C., (1999). Underwriting cycles in Asia. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 66(1), 29–47. https://doi.org/10.2307/253876
  5. CHRISTOPHERSEN, C. and JAKUBÍK, P., (2014). Insurance and the macroeconomic environment, No. 1, EIOPA Financial Stability Report - Thematic Articles, EIOPA, Risks and Financial Stability Department, https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eio:thafsr:1.
  6. ENZ, R., (2000). The S-curve relation between per-capita income and insurance penetration, The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, 25(3), 396-406.
  7. EUROPEAN COMMISSION., (2009). Directive 2009/103/EC. Accessed: 2021-07-25. https://ec.europa.eu/info/law/motor-insurance-directive-2009-103-ec_en
  8. INSURANCE EUROPE, 12.03.(2021). European insurance in figures. In: Insurance Europe. Brussels: Insurance Europe, 12.03.(2021). Accessed: 2021-03-22. https://www.insuranceeurope.eu/insurancedata.
  9. INSURANCE EUROPE, February (2019). European motor insurance markets. In: Insurance Europe. Brussels: Insurance Europe, February (2019). Accessed: 2021-03-22. https://insuranceeurope.eu/sites/default/files/attachments/European%20Motor%20Insuranc e20Markets%202019.pdf
  10. KAFFASH, S., AZIZI, R., HUANG, Y. and ZHU, J., (2020). A survey of data envelopment analysis applications in the insurance industry 1993–2018. European Journal of Operational Research, 284(1), 801-1200, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2019.07.034
  11. KUGLER, M. and OFOGHI, R., (2005). Does insurance promote economic growth? Evidence from the UK, Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference (2005), Money Macro and Finance Research Group, https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:8.
  12. KWON, J. W., WOLFROM, L., (2016). Analytical tools for the insurance market and macro-prudential surveillance. OECD Journal Financial Market Trends, 1-47. ISSN: 19952872 (online)
  13. LAMM-TENNANT, J. and WEISS, M. A., (1997). International insurance cycle: Rational expectations/ Institutional intervention. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 64(3), 415–439. https://www.jstor.org/stable/253758
  14. LATVIAN INSURERS ASSOCIATION, March (2020). Premiums written and claims paid by insurance companies in 4 quarters of 2019, in breakdown by classes of insurance. In: www.laa.lv. Riga: Latvian Insurers Association, March (2020). Accessed: 2021-03-22. https://www.laa.lv/wpcontent/uploads/2020/02/Veidi_salidz_LAA_apkopots_4cet19.SKDS. pdf
  15. LEE, C. and CHIU, Y., (2012). The Impact of real income on insurance premiums: Evidence from panel data. International Review of Economics & Finance 21(1), 246–260. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2011.07.003
  16. LEE, C. C., LEE, C. C. and CHIOU, Y., (2017). Insurance activities, globalization, and economic growth: New methods, new evidence. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 51, ISSN 1042-4431, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2017.05.006.
  17. McMILLAN, D. G., (2003). Non-linear predictability of UK stock market returns. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 65(5), 557–573. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.(2003).00061.x
  18. SHAW, G. and BAUMAN, N., 03.12.(2020). 2021 insurance outlook. Accelerating recovery from the pandemic while pivoting to thrive. In. www2.deloitte.com. united States: Deloitte, 03.12.2020. Accessed: (2021)-03-22. https://www2.deloitte.com/xe/en /insights/industry/financial-services/financial-services-industry-outlooks/insurance-industry- outlook.html
  19. SLIVISKI, A., POLIYCHRONIDOU P. and KARASAVVOGLOU A., (2019). Economic development and financial markets. Madrid. Springer. ISBN 978-3-030-32426-1
  20. SŪNIŅA, K., (2003). Apdrošināšana. Riga. Junior Achievement Latvia. ISBN9984-702-07-3
  21. THE FINANCIAL AND CAPITAL MARKET COMMISSION, March (2021). Operations of Insurance companies in 4th Quarter of 2020. In: www.fktk.lv. Riga: The Financial and Capital Market Commission, March (2021). Accessed: 2021-03-22. https://www.fktk.lv/en/statistics/insurance/quarterly-reports/
  22. TIAN, L., JIANG S. J., PAN. G. and Zhang N., (2018). Non-life insurance price dynamics: evidence from the Chinese insurance market. Economic Research -Ekonomska Istraživanja. 31(1), 171-187. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2018.1424557
  23. WARD, D. and ZURBRUEGG, R., (2000). Does insurance promote economic growth? Evidence from OECD Countries. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 67(4), 489-506. https://www.jstor.org/stable/253847
  24. ZHENG, W., LIU, Y. and DICKINSON, G., (2008). The Chinese insurance market: Estimating its long- term growth and size. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance. Issues and Practice. 33(3), 489– 506. https://www.jstor.org/stable/41952990